Skip to content
Get2MarsRoad to the Red Planet

How do you judge Musk's million-person threshold for a self-sustaining Mars city?

Published:

Attributed statement

Paraphrase of Musk's 27 September 2016 presentation, published in New Space in 2017: he put the threshold for a self-sustaining city or civilization on Mars at one million people.

Source / statement date: · Elon Musk, 2016 IAC presentation; 2017 New Space paper, p. 50 (PDF mirror)

Editorial context

Editorial context: one million is Musk's planning estimate, not a measured minimum population. Here, self-sustaining means able to keep functioning without essential supplies from Earth, not merely a continuously inhabited outpost. Skills, automation, local food and energy, replacement parts and health care would affect the population needed. The source does not demonstrate that a million people would be sufficient. Judge whether his population estimate is too high, about right or too low; you may instead reject the feasibility of self-sufficiency at any size or say the evidence is insufficient. Results reflect reader opinion, not a scientific finding.

Results combine all languages. This is a self-selected reader poll, not a representative survey or evidence that a claim is true. One active vote per browser identity; this does not verify one person. Clearing cookies or using another browser can bypass this protection.

Open

How do you judge Musk's million-person threshold for a self-sustaining Mars city?

Loading…

Global results

Total active votes: 0

No votes yet.

His population estimate is too high0 / 0 (0%)
His population estimate is about right0 / 0 (0%)
His population estimate is too low0 / 0 (0%)
Self-sufficiency is not achievable at any size0 / 0 (0%)
Not enough evidence to judge0 / 0 (0%)

Discussion

Plain text, 10–2,000 characters. No email required. New and edited comments appear publicly only after moderation. Your own pending or rejected comments remain visible to this browser. Keep discussion civil and relevant; do not post personal information.

Loading…